The NM Cupen sees Follo take on Sarpsborg 08 FF on Wednesday 30 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ski Stadion.
Form guide
Follo's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Kjelsås 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to KFUM Oslo 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.5 for Follo and 2.0 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Follo 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Follo9%fair 10.80 · @19.00
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @6.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF71%fair 1.41 · @1.12
2.50Expected goals
0.54Follo xG
1.96Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Follo 0.5 – 2.0 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win✓
71%
1.41
1.12
Double chance
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Sarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.22
–
Form
Follo – last 6
DLLWLD
26 Sep
@ Kjelsås
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Eidsvold
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Levanger
2–5
L
5 Sep
vs Tromsdalen Uil
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Hønefoss
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ Rana
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
LDDDWL
18 Sep
vs KFUM Oslo
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Fredrikstad
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Valerenga
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Sparta Sarpsborg
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sandefjord
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Follo and Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What is the prediction for Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Follo have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%.
How many goals will there be in Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Follo 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Follo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
