The NM Cupen sees Grorud take on Moss on Wednesday 23 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Grorud's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Kjelsås 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Moss's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Sandnes ULF 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Grorud arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.7 for Grorud and 2.8 for Moss. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grorud 25%, draw 15%, Moss 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.29.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Grorud 1–2 Moss. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grorud25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @4.20
Moss60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
4.50Expected goals
1.74Grorud xG
2.76Moss xG
72%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
2–15%
From our goals model: Grorud 1.7 – 2.8 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moss to win✗
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.40
1.29
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Moss ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moss / FT Moss✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.59
–
Form
Grorud – last 6
WWDWDW
20 Sep
vs Kjelsås
3–2
W
16 Sep
vs Tromsdalen Uil
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hønefoss
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Rana
4–2
W
29 Aug
@ Eidsvold
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Oslo
5–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Moss – last 6
WLWLDW
20 Sep
@ Sandnes ULF
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Haugesund
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Stabaek
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Strommen
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Sogndal
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Lørenskog
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grorud and Moss.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Grorud vs Moss?
On our numbers Grorud have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Moss 60%.
How many goals will there be in Grorud vs Moss?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grorud vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Grorud 1–2 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Grorud vs Moss?
Grorud vs Moss (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
