Valerenga travel to face Skeid in the NM Cupen on Thursday 17 September (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Skeid's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Junkeren 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Valerenga's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Lillestrom 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 7.0 goals: 2.5 for Skeid and 4.5 for Valerenga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score in 74% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Skeid 15%, draw 17%, Valerenga 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (74%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Skeid 2–4 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Skeid15%fair 6.45 · @6.00
Draw17%fair 6.02 · @5.00
Valerenga68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
7.00Expected goals
2.55Skeid xG
4.45Valerenga xG
74%Both score
97%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–45%
2–34%
2–54%
2–74%
3–44%
1–44%
From our goals model: Skeid 2.5 – 4.5 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Valerenga or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
74%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Valerenga ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–4✗
5%
20.64
–
Form
Skeid – last 6
LWDWLL
13 Sep
@ Junkeren
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Kjelsås
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ TryggLade
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Nordstrand
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs Levanger
0–5
L
9 Aug
@ Rana
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
LDLWDL
12 Sep
@ Lillestrom
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Molde
3–4
L
23 Aug
@ Christiania BK
7–2
W
16 Aug
@ Aalesund
5–5
D
8 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Skeid and Valerenga.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Skeid vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Skeid have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Valerenga 68%.
How many goals will there be in Skeid vs Valerenga?
We expect about 7.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skeid vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Skeid 2–4 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.0 goals in total.
When is Skeid vs Valerenga?
Skeid vs Valerenga (NM Cupen) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
