jerv host Egersund in the NM Cupen on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
jerv's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Brattvåg 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Egersund's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Kongsvinger 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
jerv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 2.4 for jerv and 2.6 for Egersund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: jerv 36%, draw 22%, Egersund 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: jerv 2–2 Egersund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
jerv36%fair 2.77 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Egersund42%fair 2.40 · @2.40
5.00Expected goals
2.42jerv xG
2.58Egersund xG
71%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–36%
1–25%
3–25%
2–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: jerv 2.4 – 2.6 Egersund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egersund to win✓
42%
2.40
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Egersund ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egersund / FT Egersund✓
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
6%
17.71
–
Form
jerv – last 6
WWWWDW
13 Sep
vs Brattvåg
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Mjondalen
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Pors Grenland
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Fram
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sandviken
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Vidar
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Egersund – last 6
DDDLWL
13 Sep
vs Kongsvinger
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Lyn
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Asane
2–2
D
26 Aug
@ Haugesund
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Våg
5–2
W
16 Aug
vs Stabaek
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between jerv and Egersund.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win jerv vs Egersund?
On our numbers jerv have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Egersund 42%.
How many goals will there be in jerv vs Egersund?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for jerv vs Egersund?
Our predicted score is jerv 2–2 Egersund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is jerv vs Egersund?
jerv vs Egersund (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arendal1
Sandnes ULF2
Brattvåg1
Kristiansund BK2
Gamle Oslo1
Lyn3
Kjelsås0
Ham-Kam2
Notodden2
ODD Ballklubb3
Os1
Brann2
TryggLade0
Molde5
Vindbjart2
Start3