Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStromsgodset to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chanceStromsgodset or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 15.04
Asker vs Stromsgodset preview and prediction
The match
Stromsgodset travel to face Asker in the NM Cupen on Tuesday 8 September (18:00 WAT).
Form guide
Asker's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ullern 6–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.7 goals a game.
Stromsgodset's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with ODD Ballklubb 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Asker arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.2 goals: 1.7 for Asker and 3.5 for Stromsgodset. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Asker 14%, draw 17%, Stromsgodset 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Asker 1–3 Stromsgodset. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asker14%fair 7.19 · @10.25
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @5.80
Stromsgodset69%fair 1.45 · @1.20
5.20Expected goals
1.73Asker xG
3.47Stromsgodset xG
67%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–46%
2–36%
1–26%
2–45%
2–25%
From our goals model: Asker 1.7 – 3.5 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stromsgodset to win✓
69%
1.45
1.20
Double chance
Stromsgodset or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Half-time result
Stromsgodset ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stromsgodset / FT Stromsgodset✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
15.04
–
Form
Asker – last 6
WWWWWW
5 Sep
@ Ullern
6–2
W
22 Aug
vs Kvik Halden
7–0
W
15 Aug
@ Heming
5–2
W
8 Aug
vs Vålerenga II
5–4
W
2 Aug
vs IF Ready
3–0
W
27 Jul
@ Union Carl Berner
2–1
W
4.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stromsgodset – last 6
DWWWWL
5 Sep
@ ODD Ballklubb
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Sogndal
3–2
W
26 Aug
vs hodd
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Modum FK
6–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ranheim
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Egersund
0–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asker and Stromsgodset.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Asker vs Stromsgodset?
On our numbers Asker have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stromsgodset 69%.
How many goals will there be in Asker vs Stromsgodset?
We expect about 5.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asker vs Stromsgodset?
Our predicted score is Asker 1–3 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.2 goals in total.
When is Asker vs Stromsgodset?
Asker vs Stromsgodset (NM Cupen) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
