Value bet: Santa Cruz to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Floresta vs Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Floresta take on Santa Cruz on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Floresta are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Santa Cruz sit 2nd on 11 points.
Form guide
Floresta's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Santa Cruz 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Cruz's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Floresta 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Santa Cruz 1–0 Floresta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Floresta and 1.0 for Santa Cruz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Floresta 34%, draw 27%, Santa Cruz 39%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Santa Cruz to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Floresta 0–0 Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floresta34%fair 2.92 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.70
Santa Cruz39%fair 2.58 · @3.00
1.88Expected goals
0.90Floresta xG
0.98Santa Cruz xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Floresta 0.9 – 1.0 Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Floresta have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Santa Cruz 39%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Floresta 0–0 Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Santa Cruz?
Floresta vs Santa Cruz (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
