Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Maringá to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaringá to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.89
Maringá vs Botafogo PB preview and prediction
The match
Maringá host Botafogo PB in the Serie C on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Maringá are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Botafogo PB sit 4th on 5 points.
Form guide
Maringá's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Santa Cruz 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Botafogo PB's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Floresta 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Botafogo PB 2–1 Maringá.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Maringá and 0.8 for Botafogo PB. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Maringá to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maringá or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maringá 1–0 Botafogo PB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maringá61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.10
Botafogo PB15%fair 6.63 · @3.30
2.69Expected goals
1.87Maringá xG
0.82Botafogo PB xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.9 – 0.8 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
Our pick is Maringá or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Maringá have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botafogo PB 15%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Botafogo PB?
Maringá vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
