Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaringá to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✗89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Maringá vs Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
Maringá host Santa Cruz in the Serie C on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT). Maringá are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Santa Cruz sit 2nd on 11 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maringá's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Floresta 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Santa Cruz's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Botafogo PB 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Maringá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Maringá 1–1 Santa Cruz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Maringá and 0.6 for Santa Cruz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maringá 66%, draw 23%, Santa Cruz 11%.
Safer route: Maringá or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maringá to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maringá 1–0 Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maringá66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Santa Cruz11%fair 9.32 · @4.80
2.48Expected goals
1.86Maringá xG
0.62Santa Cruz xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.9 – 0.6 Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maringá to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Maringá vs Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Maringá have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Cruz 11%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Santa Cruz?
Maringá vs Santa Cruz (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
