Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaysandu to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chancePaysandu or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Paysandu vs Brusque preview and prediction
The match
Paysandu host Brusque in the Serie C on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Paysandu are 4th with 5 points from 6 games, while Brusque sit 3rd on 7 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paysandu's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Maringá 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Brusque's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Guarani Campinas 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Paysandu and 0.8 for Brusque. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paysandu 62%, draw 24%, Brusque 14%.
Safer route: Paysandu or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paysandu to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–0 Brusque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Brusque14%fair 7.04 · @4.20
2.71Expected goals
1.90Paysandu xG
0.81Brusque xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.9 – 0.8 Brusque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✗
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Paysandu or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Paysandu ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Paysandu – last 6
LWLWLW
29 Aug
vs Maringá
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Ituano
1–0
W
18 Aug
@ Ferroviária
0–4
L
11 Aug
vs Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jul
@ Amazonas
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Guarani Campinas
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brusque – last 6
DDWLWL
29 Aug
@ Guarani Campinas
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Inter De Limeira
3–2
W
9 Aug
@ Maranhão
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Ituano
1–0
W
13 Jul
@ AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Brusque.
Our pick is Paysandu to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Paysandu vs Brusque?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brusque 14%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Brusque?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Brusque?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–0 Brusque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Brusque?
Paysandu vs Brusque (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.