Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Santa Cruz to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceSanta Cruz or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.66
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Santa Cruz take on Botafogo PB on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT). Santa Cruz are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while Botafogo PB sit 4th on 5 points.
Form guide
Santa Cruz's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Anápolis 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Botafogo PB's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat AO Itabaiana 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Botafogo PB arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Botafogo PB 2–2 Santa Cruz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Santa Cruz and 0.6 for Botafogo PB. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Cruz 61%, draw 22%, Botafogo PB 17%.
Safer route: Santa Cruz or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Santa Cruz to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Cruz or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Cruz 1–0 Botafogo PB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Cruz61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.00
Botafogo PB17%fair 5.87 · @3.50
2.16Expected goals
1.53Santa Cruz xG
0.63Botafogo PB xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz 1.5 – 0.6 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
Our pick is Santa Cruz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Santa Cruz have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botafogo PB 17%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz 1–0 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB?
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
