Value bet: Persipura Jayapura to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersela Lamongan to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura preview and prediction
The match
Persela Lamongan host Persipura Jayapura in the Liga 2 on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion Surajaya. Persela Lamongan are 6th with 41 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Persipura Jayapura sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Persela Lamongan's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Dejan 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Persipura Jayapura's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Persiba Balikpapan 5–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Persipura Jayapura 0–0 Persela Lamongan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Persela Lamongan and 1.3 for Persipura Jayapura. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Persipura Jayapura to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Persela Lamongan 2–1 Persipura Jayapura. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persela Lamongan44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Persipura Jayapura36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.86Expected goals
1.52Persela Lamongan xG
1.34Persipura Jayapura xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Persela Lamongan 1.5 – 1.3 Persipura Jayapura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
On our numbers Persela Lamongan have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Persipura Jayapura 36%.
How many goals will there be in Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
Our predicted score is Persela Lamongan 2–1 Persipura Jayapura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surajaya.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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