Semen Padang vs Sumsel United prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Semen Padang to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSemen Padang to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.53
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United preview and prediction
The match
Semen Padang host Sumsel United in the Liga 2 on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Form guide
Semen Padang's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Persiku Kudus 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sumsel United's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Bekasi City 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Semen Padang and 0.9 for Sumsel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Semen Padang 65%, draw 15%, Sumsel United 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Semen Padang to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Semen Padang 1–0 Sumsel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Semen Padang65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @3.75
Sumsel United20%fair 4.91 · @3.70
2.79Expected goals
1.91Semen Padang xG
0.88Sumsel United xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Semen Padang 1.9 – 0.9 Sumsel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Semen Padang to win✓
65%
1.54
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Semen Padang ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Semen Padang / FT Semen Padang✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.53
–
Form
Semen Padang – last 6
WDLLWD
24 Oct
@ Persiku Kudus
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs PSMS Medan
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Persikad Depok FC
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs PSPS
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs PSIS Semarang
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sumsel United – last 6
DWWWLL
24 Oct
@ Bekasi City
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Persikad Depok FC
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Persiku Kudus
5–1
W
2 Oct
@ Persiraja Banda Aceh
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs PSPS
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Semen Padang and Sumsel United.
What is the prediction for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
Our pick is Semen Padang to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
On our numbers Semen Padang have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sumsel United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
Our predicted score is Semen Padang 1–0 Sumsel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United (Liga 2) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.