Value bet: Sumsel United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBekasi City to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Bekasi City vs Sumsel United preview and prediction
The match
Sumsel United travel to Purnawarman Stadium in the Liga 2 on Saturday 24 October (13:00 WAT) to face Bekasi City. Bekasi City are 3rd with 44 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Sumsel United sit 4th on 42 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bekasi City's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sumsel United's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Persikad Depok FC 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sumsel United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Sumsel United 1–1 Bekasi City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Bekasi City and 1.3 for Sumsel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bekasi City 44%, draw 21%, Sumsel United 35%.
Value angle: Sumsel United to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Bekasi City 2–1 Sumsel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bekasi City44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Sumsel United35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
2.70Expected goals
1.45Bekasi City xG
1.25Sumsel United xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Bekasi City 1.4 – 1.3 Sumsel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?
On our numbers Bekasi City have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sumsel United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?
Our predicted score is Bekasi City 2–1 Sumsel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?
Bekasi City vs Sumsel United (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Purnawarman Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.