Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSemen Padang to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceSemen Padang or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Semen Padang vs PSPS preview and prediction
The match
PSPS travel to Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim in the Liga 2 on Sunday 4 October (13:00 WAT) to face Semen Padang.
Form guide
Semen Padang's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat PSGC Ciamis 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
PSPS's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Sumsel United 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
PSPS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Semen Padang and 0.8 for PSPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Semen Padang or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Semen Padang 1–0 PSPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Semen Padang59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
PSPS17%fair 5.92 · @4.10
2.61Expected goals
1.77Semen Padang xG
0.84PSPS xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Semen Padang 1.8 – 0.8 PSPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Semen Padang to win✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Semen Padang or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Semen Padang ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Semen Padang / FT Semen Padang✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Semen Padang – last 6
WDWLLL
26 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs PSIS Semarang
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Persiraja Banda Aceh
1–0
W
23 May
@ Persija
0–3
L
15 May
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–7
L
8 May
vs Persik Kediri
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSPS – last 6
WWLLWW
26 Sep
@ Sumsel United
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Persiraja Banda Aceh
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ PSIS Semarang
1–2
L
2 May
@ Bekasi City
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Sumsel United
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Persekat
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Semen Padang and PSPS.
Our pick is Semen Padang or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Semen Padang vs PSPS?
On our numbers Semen Padang have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and PSPS 17%.
How many goals will there be in Semen Padang vs PSPS?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Semen Padang vs PSPS?
Our predicted score is Semen Padang 1–0 PSPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Semen Padang vs PSPS?
Semen Padang vs PSPS (Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.