Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: PSMS Medan to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSMS Medan to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan preview and prediction
The match
PSMS Medan travel to Purnawarman Stadium in the Liga 2 on Sunday 27 September (13:00 WAT) to face Bekasi City. Bekasi City are 3rd with 44 points from 27 games (in the top four), while PSMS Medan sit 7th on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bekasi City's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Persikad Depok FC 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
PSMS Medan's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Persiku Kudus 6–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bekasi City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.3 for Bekasi City and 2.2 for PSMS Medan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bekasi City 22%, draw 20%, PSMS Medan 58%.
Value angle: PSMS Medan to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Bekasi City 1–2 PSMS Medan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bekasi City22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
PSMS Medan58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
3.40Expected goals
1.25Bekasi City xG
2.15PSMS Medan xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Bekasi City 1.3 – 2.2 PSMS Medan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSMS Medan to win✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
PSMS Medan ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSMS Medan / FT PSMS Medan✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Bekasi City – last 6
LDWWDD
18 Sep
vs Persikad Depok FC
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Persiku Kudus
1–1
D
2 May
vs PSPS
3–2
W
18 Apr
vs Adhyaksa
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Sumsel United
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Persekat
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSMS Medan – last 6
WDLLLD
20 Sep
vs Persiku Kudus
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Sumsel United
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Persija
1–4
L
29 Jul
@ Persebaya Surabaya
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Port FC
0–2
L
2 May
@ Persiraja Banda Aceh
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bekasi City and PSMS Medan.
What is the prediction for Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan?
On our numbers Bekasi City have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PSMS Medan 58%.
How many goals will there be in Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan?
Our predicted score is Bekasi City 1–2 PSMS Medan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan?
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan (Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Purnawarman Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Persiku Kudus
PSIS Semarang
RANS Nusantara1
Deltras2