Value bet: Florgrade to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCamacha to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Camacha vs Florgrade preview and prediction
The match
Florgrade travel to face Camacha in the Taça De Portugal on Sunday 27 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Camacha's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Guarda 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Florgrade's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Sanjoanense 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Camacha 1–0 Florgrade.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Camacha and 0.9 for Florgrade. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Florgrade to win at 3.60 – 32% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Camacha 1–0 Florgrade. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Camacha44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.80
Florgrade32%fair 3.10 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.11Camacha xG
0.89Florgrade xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Camacha 1.1 – 0.9 Florgrade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Camacha vs Florgrade?
On our numbers Camacha have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Florgrade 32%.
How many goals will there be in Camacha vs Florgrade?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Camacha vs Florgrade?
Our predicted score is Camacha 1–0 Florgrade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Camacha vs Florgrade?
Camacha vs Florgrade (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
