Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Melbourne Victory or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Melbourne Victory to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✗63% · @1.88
Double chanceMelbourne Victory or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51
Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung preview and prediction
The match
Persib Bandung travel to AAMI Park in the AFC Cup on Wednesday 4 November (08:45 WAT) to face Melbourne Victory. Melbourne Victory are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Persib Bandung sit 1st on 12 points.
Form guide
Melbourne Victory's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Central Coast Mariners 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Persib Bandung's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Isenmulang Kalteng 4–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Persib Bandung arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 October 2026, finished Persib Bandung 2–0 Melbourne Victory.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Melbourne Victory and 0.6 for Persib Bandung. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melbourne Victory 63%, draw 24%, Persib Bandung 13%.
Safer route: Melbourne Victory or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Melbourne Victory to win at 1.88 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Melbourne Victory or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Melbourne Victory 1–0 Persib Bandung. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne Victory63%fair 1.59 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Persib Bandung13%fair 7.48 · @3.52
2.18Expected goals
1.60Melbourne Victory xG
0.58Persib Bandung xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory 1.6 – 0.6 Persib Bandung expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung?
Our pick is Melbourne Victory or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Persib Bandung 13%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 1–0 Persib Bandung, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung?
Melbourne Victory vs Persib Bandung (AFC Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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