Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPorto U19 to win ✓78% · @1.10
Double chancePorto U19 or draw ✓95% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Porto U19 vs Napoli U19 preview and prediction
The match
Napoli U19 travel to Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes in the UEFA Youth League on Wednesday 4 November (13:00 WAT) to face Porto U19.
Form guide
Porto U19's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Feirense U19 0–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Napoli U19's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Monopoli U19 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.9 for Porto U19 and 0.8 for Napoli U19. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Porto U19 78%, draw 16%, Napoli U19 5%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 54% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Porto U19 3–0 Napoli U19. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Porto U1978%fair 1.27 · @1.10
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @8.00
Napoli U195%fair 18.54 · @21.00
3.67Expected goals
2.89Porto U19 xG
0.78Napoli U19 xG
54%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Porto U19 2.9 – 0.8 Napoli U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porto U19 to win✓
78%
1.27
1.10
Double chance
Porto U19 or draw✓
95%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Half-time result
Porto U19 ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Porto U19 / FT Porto U19✓
57%
1.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Porto U19 – last 6
LLWWLW
31 Oct
@ Feirense U19
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Academico Viseu U19
1–5
L
20 Oct
vs PSV U19
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Gil Vicente U19
5–0
W
14 Oct
@ Real Betis U19
0–5
L
10 Oct
@ Sporting Braga U19
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Napoli U19 – last 6
DWWDLW
31 Oct
@ Monopoli U19
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Spezia U19
3–1
W
20 Oct
vs Bodø Glimt U19
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Bari U19
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Villarreal U19
0–5
L
10 Oct
vs Pisa U19
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porto U19 and Napoli U19.
What is the prediction for Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?
On our numbers Porto U19 have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Napoli U19 5%.
How many goals will there be in Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?
Our predicted score is Porto U19 3–0 Napoli U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Porto U19 vs Napoli U19?
Porto U19 vs Napoli U19 (UEFA Youth League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.