Value bet: Villarreal U19 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal U19 to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.36
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6% · fair 17.90
Liverpool U19 vs Villarreal U19 preview and prediction
The match
Villarreal U19 travel to Liverpool Academy in the UEFA Youth League on Tuesday 20 October (15:00 WAT) to face Liverpool U19. Liverpool U19 are 16th with 10 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Villarreal U19 sit 5th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Villarreal U19's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Napoli U19 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 2.5 for Liverpool U19 and 2.5 for Villarreal U19. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool U19 37%, draw 22%, Villarreal U19 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Villarreal U19 to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Liverpool U19 2–2 Villarreal U19. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool U1937%fair 2.70 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Villarreal U1940%fair 2.47 · @2.75
5.00Expected goals
2.45Liverpool U19 xG
2.55Villarreal U19 xG
72%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–36%
3–25%
1–25%
2–15%
3–35%
From our goals model: Liverpool U19 2.5 – 2.5 Villarreal U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal U19 to win✗
40%
2.47
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Villarreal U19 ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal U19 / FT Villarreal U19✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
6%
17.90
–
Form
Liverpool U19 – last 2
WD
14 Oct
@ LASK U19
4–2
W
9 Sep
vs Atlético Madrid U19
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Villarreal U19 – last 4
WWLW
13 Oct
vs Napoli U19
5–0
W
8 Sep
@ Borussia Dortmund U19
3–2
W
17 Mar
vs PSG U19
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Legia Warszawa U19
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool U19 and Villarreal U19.
What is the prediction for Liverpool U19 vs Villarreal U19?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Liverpool U19 vs Villarreal U19?
On our numbers Liverpool U19 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villarreal U19 40%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool U19 vs Villarreal U19?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool U19 vs Villarreal U19?
Our predicted score is Liverpool U19 2–2 Villarreal U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Liverpool U19 vs Villarreal U19?
Liverpool U19 vs Villarreal U19 (UEFA Youth League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Liverpool Academy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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