Value bet: Atletico Tucuman to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.28
Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Independ. Rivadavia host Atletico Tucuman in the Copa Argentina on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Regional de Los Andes.
Form guide
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Aldosivi 4–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to River Plate 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.2 for Atletico Tucuman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Atletico Tucuman to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Atletico Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independ. Rivadavia40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Atletico Tucuman34%fair 2.91 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.31Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.19Atletico Tucuman xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.3 – 1.2 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Tucuman 34%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Los Andes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
