Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPeninsula Power to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
The Queensland NPL sees Peninsula Power take on Moreton City Excelsior on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at AJ Kelly Park.
Form guide
Peninsula Power's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Lions 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Gold Coast Knights 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Moreton City Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Moreton City Excelsior 2–2 Peninsula Power. Across their last 2 meetings Peninsula Power have won 0, Moreton City Excelsior 1, with 1 draw and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Peninsula Power and 1.8 for Moreton City Excelsior. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Peninsula Power 40%, draw 22%, Moreton City Excelsior 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Peninsula Power 1–1 Moreton City Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peninsula Power40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Moreton City Excelsior38%fair 2.65 · @2.80
3.67Expected goals
1.86Peninsula Power xG
1.81Moreton City Excelsior xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Peninsula Power 1.9 – 1.8 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Peninsula Power have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moreton City Excelsior 38%.
How many goals will there be in Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Peninsula Power 1–1 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at AJ Kelly Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia · AJ Kelly Park
