Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns preview and prediction
The match
The 8 Cup sees Orlando Pirates take on Mamelodi Sundowns on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Moses Mabhida Stadium.
Form guide
Orlando Pirates's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Marumo Gallants 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mamelodi Sundowns's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Orlando Pirates 1–2 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Orlando Pirates and 1.4 for Mamelodi Sundowns. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orlando Pirates 1–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orlando Pirates40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.75
Mamelodi Sundowns34%fair 2.93 · @2.50
3.00Expected goals
1.57Orlando Pirates xG
1.43Mamelodi Sundowns xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Orlando Pirates 1.6 – 1.4 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Orlando Pirates have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mamelodi Sundowns 34%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Orlando Pirates 1–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns (8 Cup) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Moses Mabhida Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
