Value bet: Larisa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarko to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.89
Marko vs Larisa preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 2 sees Marko take on Larisa on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 12:45 (WAT). Marko are 1st with 26 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Larisa sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Marko's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Nestos Chrisoupolis 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Larisa's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Niki Volos 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marko arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Marko and 1.2 for Larisa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marko 40%, draw 24%, Larisa 36%.
Value angle: Larisa to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Marko 1–1 Larisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marko40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Larisa36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.58Expected goals
1.33Marko xG
1.25Larisa xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Marko 1.3 – 1.2 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marko to win✓
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marko / FT Marko✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.89
–
Form
Marko – last 6
WWWLWW
5 Oct
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–1
W
28 Sep
vs Panthrakikos
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Olympiakos Piraeus II
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Aris Thessalonikis
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Kallithea
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Panserraikos
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
DWWDWD
3 Oct
@ Niki Volos
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs PAOK II
1–0
W
21 Sep
@ Pyrgos 1968
4–0
W
17 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marko and Larisa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Marko vs Larisa?
On our numbers Marko have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Larisa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Marko vs Larisa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marko vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Marko 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Marko vs Larisa?
Marko vs Larisa (Super League 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
