Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Larisa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLarisa to win ✗39% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Niki Volos vs Larisa preview and prediction
The match
Niki Volos host Larisa in the Super League 2 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 12:45 (WAT). Niki Volos are 7th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Larisa sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Niki Volos's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Nestos Chrisoupolis 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Larisa's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat PAOK II 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Larisa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Niki Volos and 1.1 for Larisa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Larisa to win at 3.30 – 39% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Niki Volos 1–1 Larisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Niki Volos36%fair 2.77 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Larisa39%fair 2.59 · @3.30
2.19Expected goals
1.07Niki Volos xG
1.12Larisa xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Niki Volos 1.1 – 1.1 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larisa to win✗
39%
2.59
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larisa / FT Larisa✗
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Niki Volos – last 6
WLLLLL
27 Sep
vs Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–0
W
21 Sep
@ Panthrakikos
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
1–2
L
7 Sep
@ Kallithea
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Panathinaikos
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
WWDWDL
27 Sep
vs PAOK II
1–0
W
21 Sep
@ Pyrgos 1968
4–0
W
17 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Niki Volos and Larisa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Niki Volos vs Larisa?
On our numbers Niki Volos have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Larisa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Niki Volos vs Larisa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Niki Volos vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Niki Volos 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Niki Volos vs Larisa?
Niki Volos vs Larisa (Super League 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
