Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLarisa to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceLarisa or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓67% · fair 1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.85
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗23% · fair 4.28
Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa preview and prediction
The match
Larisa travel to face Pyrgos 1968 in the Super League 2 on Monday 21 September (14:00 WAT). Pyrgos 1968 are 12th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Larisa sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pyrgos 1968's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Larisa's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Kalamata 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Larisa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.4 for Pyrgos 1968 and 1.4 for Larisa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Larisa to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pyrgos 1968 0–1 Larisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pyrgos 196813%fair 7.53 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.70
Larisa67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
1.81Expected goals
0.38Pyrgos 1968 xG
1.43Larisa xG
33%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–123%
0–217%
0–016%
1–19%
0–38%
1–26%
From our goals model: Pyrgos 1968 0.4 – 1.4 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larisa to win✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Larisa or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larisa / FT Larisa✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
23%
4.28
–
Form
Pyrgos 1968 – last 6
LDLWLW
13 Sep
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Panthrakikos
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Atromitos
1–3
L
17 May
@ Aris Petroupolis
2–1
W
13 May
@ Ethnikos Piraeus
0–2
L
3 May
vs Aris Petroupolis
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
DWDLWW
17 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–4
L
17 Aug
@ Kallithea
3–1
W
11 Aug
@ Trikala
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pyrgos 1968 and Larisa.
Our pick is Larisa to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
On our numbers Pyrgos 1968 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Larisa 67%.
How many goals will there be in Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 33% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Pyrgos 1968 0–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa?
Pyrgos 1968 vs Larisa (Super League 2) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
