Value bet: Apollon Pontou to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsteras Tripolis II to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.54
Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou preview and prediction
The match
Apollon Pontou travel to face Asteras Tripolis II in the Super League 2 on Sunday 20 September (15:00 WAT). Asteras Tripolis II are 9th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Apollon Pontou sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Asteras Tripolis II's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Panserraikos 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Apollon Pontou's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Panionios 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Apollon Pontou arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Asteras Tripolis II and 0.9 for Apollon Pontou. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Apollon Pontou to win at 3.75 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis II 1–1 Apollon Pontou. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asteras Tripolis II45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.88
Apollon Pontou31%fair 3.18 · @3.75
2.00Expected goals
1.13Asteras Tripolis II xG
0.87Apollon Pontou xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis II 1.1 – 0.9 Apollon Pontou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asteras Tripolis II to win✓
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asteras Tripolis II / FT Asteras Tripolis II✓
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.54
–
Form
Asteras Tripolis II – last 4
LLLW
13 Sep
@ Panserraikos
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Panionios
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Iraklis 1908
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Apollon Pontou – last 6
LDLWDW
14 Sep
@ Panionios
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Ellas Syros
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
0–1
L
17 May
vs Panthrakikos
2–0
W
13 May
@ Elassona
0–0
D
10 May
vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis II and Apollon Pontou.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apollon Pontou 31%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis II 1–1 Apollon Pontou, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou?
Asteras Tripolis II vs Apollon Pontou (Super League 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
