Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: ASA to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultASA to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceASA or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.47
ASA vs Uberlandia preview and prediction
The match
Uberlandia travel to face ASA in the Serie D on Sunday 6 September (21:00 WAT).
Form guide
ASA's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Gama 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uberlandia's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with ABC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for ASA and 0.6 for Uberlandia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ASA 60%, draw 26%, Uberlandia 14%.
Safer route: ASA or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: ASA to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ASA or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ASA 1–0 Uberlandia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Uberlandia14%fair 7.03 · @3.70
2.13Expected goals
1.53ASA xG
0.59Uberlandia xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: ASA 1.5 – 0.6 Uberlandia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
ASA or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.47
–
Form
ASA – last 6
DWDDWW
30 Aug
@ Gama
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Gama
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Goiatuba EC
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Goiatuba EC
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Cianorte
5–1
W
18 Jul
@ Cianorte
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Uberlandia – last 6
DWWWLW
30 Aug
@ ABC
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs ABC
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ CSA
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs CSA
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Portuguesa
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Portuguesa
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA and Uberlandia.
Our pick is ASA or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ASA vs Uberlandia?
On our numbers ASA have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Uberlandia 14%.
How many goals will there be in ASA vs Uberlandia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA vs Uberlandia?
Our predicted score is ASA 1–0 Uberlandia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is ASA vs Uberlandia?
ASA vs Uberlandia (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
