Value bet: Devonport City to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Hobart to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.09
South Hobart vs Devonport City preview and prediction
The match
The Tasmania NPL sees South Hobart take on Devonport City on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Darcy Street.
Form guide
South Hobart's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Kingborough Lions 2–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Devonport City's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat South Hobart 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished South Hobart 0–3 Devonport City. Across their last 3 meetings South Hobart have won 2, Devonport City 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.2 for South Hobart and 2.0 for Devonport City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Hobart 43%, draw 23%, Devonport City 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Devonport City to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: South Hobart 2–2 Devonport City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Hobart43%fair 2.35 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Devonport City35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
4.28Expected goals
2.25South Hobart xG
2.03Devonport City xG
72%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: South Hobart 2.2 – 2.0 Devonport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for South Hobart vs Devonport City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win South Hobart vs Devonport City?
On our numbers South Hobart have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Devonport City 35%.
How many goals will there be in South Hobart vs Devonport City?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Hobart vs Devonport City?
Our predicted score is South Hobart 2–2 Devonport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is South Hobart vs Devonport City?
South Hobart vs Devonport City (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Darcy Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia · Darcy Street
