Olancho vs Atletico Independiente prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Olancho to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlancho to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Olancho take on Atletico Independiente on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Olancho are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Independiente sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Olancho's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Génesis 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Independiente's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Olancho and 0.7 for Atletico Independiente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Olancho to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Olancho 1–0 Atletico Independiente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olancho67%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.10
Atletico Independiente13%fair 8.00 · @4.50
2.57Expected goals
1.91Olancho xG
0.66Atletico Independiente xG
45%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.9 – 0.7 Atletico Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✗
67%
1.48
1.53
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Olancho ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
Olancho – last 6
DDDLDW
19 Sep
@ Génesis
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Real Espana
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Choloma
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ CD Motagua
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs CD Olimpia
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Juticalpa
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Independiente – last 6
LWDLDD
21 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–4
L
14 Sep
vs Juticalpa
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Génesis
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Real Espana
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and Atletico Independiente.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
Our pick is Olancho to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
On our numbers Olancho have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Independiente 13%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–0 Atletico Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Atletico Independiente?
Olancho vs Atletico Independiente (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
