Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.02
Génesis vs CD Olimpia preview and prediction
The match
Génesis host CD Olimpia in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova. Génesis are 8th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CD Olimpia sit 1st on 33 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Génesis's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Olancho 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Olimpia's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Atletico Independiente 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Génesis and 1.8 for CD Olimpia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Génesis 15%, draw 20%, CD Olimpia 65%.
Safer route: CD Olimpia or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Olimpia to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Génesis 0–1 CD Olimpia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Génesis15%fair 6.69 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
CD Olimpia65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
2.56Expected goals
0.72Génesis xG
1.84CD Olimpia xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Génesis 0.7 – 1.8 CD Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Olimpia to win✓
65%
1.53
1.75 ▲
Double chance
CD Olimpia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
CD Olimpia ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.02
–
Form
Génesis – last 6
DLWLDW
19 Sep
vs Olancho
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ CD Motagua
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Juticalpa
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs CD Marathon
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Atletico Independiente
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Platense FC
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CD Olimpia – last 6
WWLWWD
21 Sep
vs Atletico Independiente
4–0
W
18 Sep
vs Firpo
3–0
W
14 Sep
@ CD Marathon
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Firpo
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Platense FC
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Estrella Roja
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Génesis and CD Olimpia.
Our pick is CD Olimpia to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Génesis vs CD Olimpia?
On our numbers Génesis have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CD Olimpia 65%.
How many goals will there be in Génesis vs CD Olimpia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Génesis vs CD Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Génesis 0–1 CD Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Génesis vs CD Olimpia?
Génesis vs CD Olimpia (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
