CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
CD Olimpia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Olimpia to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceCD Olimpia or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.48
CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente preview and prediction
The match
CD Olimpia host Atletico Independiente in the Liga Nacional on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Olimpia are 1st with 33 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Atletico Independiente sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Olimpia's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Firpo 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Atletico Independiente's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Juticalpa 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CD Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for CD Olimpia and 0.7 for Atletico Independiente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 43%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Olimpia 68%, draw 22%, Atletico Independiente 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Olimpia to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: CD Olimpia 2–0 Atletico Independiente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Olimpia68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.33
Atletico Independiente10%fair 9.88 · @7.50
2.77Expected goals
2.07CD Olimpia xG
0.70Atletico Independiente xG
43%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 2.1 – 0.7 Atletico Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Olimpia to win✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Double chance
CD Olimpia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
CD Olimpia ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.48
–
Form
CD Olimpia – last 6
WLWWDW
18 Sep
vs Firpo
3–0
W
14 Sep
@ CD Marathon
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Firpo
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Platense FC
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Estrella Roja
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Deportivo Saprissa
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Independiente – last 6
WDLDDW
14 Sep
vs Juticalpa
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Platense FC
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Génesis
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Real Espana
1–1
D
10 Aug
vs Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Olimpia and Atletico Independiente.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
Our pick is CD Olimpia to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Independiente 10%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 2–0 Atletico Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente?
CD Olimpia vs Atletico Independiente (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.