Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗63% · @1.42
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✗86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon preview and prediction
The match
Juticalpa host CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Juticalpa are 12th with 6 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Juticalpa's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Independiente 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CD Marathon's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to LD Alajuelense 1–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Marathon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Juticalpa 0–4 CD Marathon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Juticalpa and 1.9 for CD Marathon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juticalpa 14%, draw 23%, CD Marathon 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Marathon to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Juticalpa 0–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juticalpa14%fair 6.96 · @6.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.10
CD Marathon63%fair 1.59 · @1.42
2.74Expected goals
0.81Juticalpa xG
1.93CD Marathon xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Juticalpa 0.8 – 1.9 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Juticalpa have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Marathon 63%.
How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Juticalpa 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
