Wednesday, 11 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
1–0
FT

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia prediction & analysis

51%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.75Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCD Marathon to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 10.45

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia preview and prediction

The match

The Liga Nacional sees CD Marathon take on CD Olimpia on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. CD Marathon are 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while CD Olimpia sit 1st on 33 points (top of the table).

Form guide

CD Marathon's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with LD Alajuelense 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

CD Olimpia's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Firpo 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

CD Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished CD Marathon 1–0 CD Olimpia. Across their last 3 meetings CD Marathon have won 1, CD Olimpia 2, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for CD Marathon and 1.3 for CD Olimpia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: CD Marathon 1–1 CD Olimpia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

CD Marathon44%fair 2.29 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
CD Olimpia35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
2.72Expected goals
1.45CD Marathon xG
1.27CD Olimpia xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.5 – 1.3 CD Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✓44%2.292.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10%10.45–

Form

CD Marathon – last 6

DWWWDL
11 Sepvs LD Alajuelense2–2D
6 Sepvs Estrella Roja5–0W
29 Aug@ Génesis2–1W
27 Augvs Real Estelí3–0W
23 Augvs Real Espana1–1D
20 Augvs Alianza0–1L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CD Olimpia – last 6

WWDWDW
11 Sep@ Firpo3–0W
4 Sepvs Platense FC4–1W
30 Aug@ Estrella Roja2–2D
28 Augvs Deportivo Saprissa2–1W
24 Aug@ Olancho1–1D
21 Aug@ Alianza FC3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026CD Marathon v CD Olimpia1–0
7 May 2026CD Olimpia v CD Marathon2–0
23 Apr 2026CD Olimpia v CD Marathon2–1
CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

On our numbers CD Marathon have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CD Olimpia 35%.

How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–1 CD Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.