Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGualaceo SC to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceGualaceo SC or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.50
El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro Serie B sees El Nacional take on Gualaceo SC on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). El Nacional are 12th with 12 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Gualaceo SC sit 7th on 29 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Nacional's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Cumbayá 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Gualaceo SC's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Santo Domingo 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gualaceo SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Gualaceo SC 3–0 El Nacional. Across their last 2 meetings El Nacional have won 0, Gualaceo SC 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for El Nacional and 1.7 for Gualaceo SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Nacional 14%, draw 23%, Gualaceo SC 63%.
Safer route: Gualaceo SC or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gualaceo SC to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: El Nacional 0–1 Gualaceo SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Nacional14%fair 7.11 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Gualaceo SC63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
2.43Expected goals
0.68El Nacional xG
1.75Gualaceo SC xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: El Nacional 0.7 – 1.7 Gualaceo SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
Our pick is Gualaceo SC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gualaceo SC 63%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 0–1 Gualaceo SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
