Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Cumbayá vs El Nacional preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro Serie B sees Cumbayá take on El Nacional on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Cumbayá are 10th with 26 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while El Nacional sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cumbayá's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat 22 de Julio 7–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
El Nacional's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Santo Domingo 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cumbayá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 September 2026, finished El Nacional 0–3 Cumbayá. Across their last 2 meetings Cumbayá have won 2, El Nacional 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Cumbayá and 0.6 for El Nacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 43%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cumbayá 69%, draw 19%, El Nacional 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cumbayá to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Cumbayá 1–0 El Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cumbayá69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.20
El Nacional12%fair 8.57 · @6.25
2.61Expected goals
1.96Cumbayá xG
0.64El Nacional xG
43%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cumbayá 2.0 – 0.6 El Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
Our pick is Cumbayá to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
On our numbers Cumbayá have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and El Nacional 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
Our predicted score is Cumbayá 1–0 El Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cumbayá vs El Nacional?
Cumbayá vs El Nacional (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
