LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
LDU Portoviejo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU Portoviejo to win ✓64% · @1.45
Double chanceLDU Portoviejo or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.55
LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional preview and prediction
The match
El Nacional travel to Estadio Reales Tamarindos in the Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday 3 October (21:30 WAT) to face LDU Portoviejo. LDU Portoviejo are 9th with 27 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while El Nacional sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
LDU Portoviejo's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with 22 de Julio 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Nacional's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Cumbayá 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
LDU Portoviejo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished El Nacional 0–2 LDU Portoviejo. Across their last 2 meetings LDU Portoviejo have won 2, El Nacional 0, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for LDU Portoviejo and 0.6 for El Nacional. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU Portoviejo 64%, draw 22%, El Nacional 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was LDU Portoviejo to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: LDU Portoviejo 1–0 El Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU Portoviejo64%fair 1.57 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.70
El Nacional15%fair 6.79 · @6.25
2.18Expected goals
1.60LDU Portoviejo xG
0.58El Nacional xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: LDU Portoviejo 1.6 – 0.6 El Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
Our pick is LDU Portoviejo to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
On our numbers LDU Portoviejo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and El Nacional 15%.
How many goals will there be in LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
Our predicted score is LDU Portoviejo 1–0 El Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Reales Tamarindos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
