Cumbayá travel to face El Nacional in the Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday 26 September (01:00 WAT). El Nacional are 12th with 12 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Cumbayá sit 10th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Nacional's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Santo Domingo 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cumbayá's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat 22 de Julio 7–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 July 2026, finished El Nacional 0–1 Cumbayá.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for El Nacional and 1.3 for Cumbayá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Nacional 29%, draw 22%, Cumbayá 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.84.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: El Nacional 0–1 Cumbayá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Nacional29%fair 3.40 · @3.32
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Cumbayá49%fair 2.05 · @1.97
2.30Expected goals
0.95El Nacional xG
1.35Cumbayá xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: El Nacional 1.0 – 1.3 Cumbayá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cumbayá 49%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 0–1 Cumbayá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs Cumbayá?
El Nacional vs Cumbayá (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
