Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Nacional to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceEl Nacional or draw ✓91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.76
El Nacional vs 22 de Julio preview and prediction
The match
22 de Julio travel to face El Nacional in the Liga Pro Serie B on Saturday 12 September (01:00 WAT). El Nacional are 12th with 12 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while 22 de Julio sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Nacional's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to LDU Portoviejo 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
22 de Julio's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Santo Domingo 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
El Nacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished 22 de Julio 1–3 El Nacional.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for El Nacional and 0.4 for 22 de Julio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Nacional 67%, draw 24%, 22 de Julio 9%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was El Nacional to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: El Nacional 1–0 22 de Julio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Nacional67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
22 de Julio9%fair 11.24 · @5.80
2.04Expected goals
1.62El Nacional xG
0.4222 de Julio xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–017%
0–013%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Nacional 1.6 – 0.4 22 de Julio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
Our pick is El Nacional to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 22 de Julio 9%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 1–0 22 de Julio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs 22 de Julio?
El Nacional vs 22 de Julio (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
