LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon preview and prediction
The match
The Concacaf Central American Cup sees LD Alajuelense take on CD Marathon on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Form guide
LD Alajuelense's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to CS Cartagines 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
CD Marathon's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat CD Olimpia 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Marathon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 September 2026, finished CD Marathon 2–2 LD Alajuelense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for LD Alajuelense and 1.1 for CD Marathon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: LD Alajuelense 47%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: LD Alajuelense 1–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LD Alajuelense47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
CD Marathon31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.42LD Alajuelense xG
1.08CD Marathon xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.4 – 1.1 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 31%.
How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?
LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Olimpia3
Firpo0