Value bet: CD Motagua to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Alianza vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
CD Motagua travel to face Alianza in the Concacaf Central American Cup on Thursday 17 September (04:15 WAT).
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to CD Motagua 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
CD Motagua's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Génesis 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 September 2026, finished CD Motagua 3–0 Alianza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Alianza and 1.5 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza 27%, draw 22%, CD Motagua 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: CD Motagua to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Alianza 1–1 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
CD Motagua51%fair 1.97 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.00Alianza xG
1.50CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.0 – 1.5 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alianza vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Alianza have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Motagua 51%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs CD Motagua?
Alianza vs CD Motagua (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 04:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.