Thursday, 12 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly

Alianza

LDWDL
0–0
FT

Alianza vs CD Motagua prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: CD Motagua to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCD Motagua to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13

Alianza vs CD Motagua preview and prediction

The match

CD Motagua travel to face Alianza in the Concacaf Central American Cup on Thursday 17 September (04:15 WAT).

Form guide

Alianza's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to CD Motagua 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

CD Motagua's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Génesis 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 September 2026, finished CD Motagua 3–0 Alianza.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Alianza and 1.5 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Alianza 1–1 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Alianza27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
CD Motagua51%fair 1.97 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.00Alianza xG
1.50CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.0 – 1.5 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Motagua to win ✗51%1.972.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.13–

Form

Alianza – last 6

LDWDLW
10 Sep@ CD Motagua0–3L
6 Sep@ Águila2–2D
30 Augvs Atletico Balboa2–0W
26 Aug@ Platense2–2D
23 Aug@ Isidro Metapán0–2L
20 Aug@ CD Marathon1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CD Motagua – last 6

WWDWDW
13 Sepvs Génesis1–0W
10 Sepvs Alianza3–0W
6 Sep@ Atletico Independiente0–0D
30 Augvs Olancho2–1W
26 Aug@ Municipal1–1D
22 Augvs Lobos Upnfm4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Sep 2026CD Motagua v Alianza3–0
Alianza vs CD Motagua head-to-head page →

More Concacaf Central American Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs CD Motagua?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Alianza vs CD Motagua?

On our numbers Alianza have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Motagua 51%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs CD Motagua?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs CD Motagua?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs CD Motagua?

Alianza vs CD Motagua (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 04:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.