Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJalapa to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceJalapa or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Jalapa vs Rancho Santana preview and prediction
The match
Jalapa host Rancho Santana in the Primera Division on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT). Jalapa are 8th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Rancho Santana sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Jalapa's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Diriangén 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Rancho Santana's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Matagalpa 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rancho Santana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.5 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Jalapa 2–0 Rancho Santana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Jalapa and 0.7 for Rancho Santana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 41%.
Our pre-match pick was Jalapa to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jalapa 1–0 Rancho Santana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jalapa64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Rancho Santana14%fair 7.29 · @3.90
2.43Expected goals
1.77Jalapa xG
0.66Rancho Santana xG
41%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Jalapa 1.8 – 0.7 Rancho Santana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?
Our pick is Jalapa to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?
On our numbers Jalapa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rancho Santana 14%.
How many goals will there be in Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?
Our predicted score is Jalapa 1–0 Rancho Santana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?
Jalapa vs Rancho Santana (Primera Division) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
