Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Petare FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAragua FC to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Aragua FC vs Petare FC preview and prediction
The match
Aragua FC host Petare FC in the Segunda División on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez. Aragua FC are 2nd with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Petare FC sit 3rd on 42 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aragua FC's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Yaracuyanos FC 5–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Petare FC's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Anzoátegui FC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Petare FC 2–1 Aragua FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Aragua FC and 1.0 for Petare FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aragua FC 41%, draw 24%, Petare FC 35%.
Value angle: Petare FC to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Aragua FC 1–0 Petare FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aragua FC41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Petare FC35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.04Expected goals
1.08Aragua FC xG
0.96Petare FC xG
42%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Aragua FC 1.1 – 1.0 Petare FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
On our numbers Aragua FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Petare FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
Our predicted score is Aragua FC 1–0 Petare FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Aragua FC vs Petare FC?
Aragua FC vs Petare FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico el Vigia FC1
Yaracuyanos FC0