Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.64
Al-Shabab vs Saham preview and prediction
The match
Saham travel to face Al-Shabab in the FA Cup on Friday 2 October (15:25 WAT).
Form guide
Al-Shabab's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Al Musannah 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saham's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Al Musannah 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Al-Shabab arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Al-Shabab 3–0 Saham.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Al-Shabab and 0.6 for Saham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Shabab 62%, draw 25%, Saham 13%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Shabab to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Al-Shabab 1–0 Saham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Shabab62%fair 1.62 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Saham13%fair 7.49 · @5.75
2.20Expected goals
1.61Al-Shabab xG
0.60Saham xG
41%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al-Shabab 1.6 – 0.6 Saham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Shabab to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Saham?
On our numbers Al-Shabab have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saham 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Shabab vs Saham?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Our predicted score is Al-Shabab 1–0 Saham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Al-Shabab vs Saham (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 15:25 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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