Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Saham to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaham to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceSaham or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Saham vs Al Musannah preview and prediction
The match
Al Musannah travel to face Saham in the FA Cup on Friday 25 September (15:35 WAT).
Form guide
Saham's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Al-Nahda 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Al Musannah's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Al-Shabab 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Saham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Saham and 0.7 for Al Musannah. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 41%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saham 62%, draw 23%, Al Musannah 15%.
Safer route: Saham or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Saham to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saham or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Saham 1–0 Al Musannah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saham62%fair 1.61 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Al Musannah15%fair 6.62 · @3.60
2.36Expected goals
1.68Saham xG
0.68Al Musannah xG
41%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Saham 1.7 – 0.7 Al Musannah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saham to win✗
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Saham or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saham / FT Saham✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.29
–
Form
Saham – last 6
DWWLDW
21 Sep
@ Al-Nahda
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Ibri
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Bahla
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Smail
0–1
L
18 May
@ Sohar
2–2
D
13 May
vs Oman Club
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Musannah – last 4
LLLL
21 Sep
vs Al-Shabab
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Al Nasr
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Oman Club
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Al-Nahda
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saham and Al Musannah.
Our pick is Saham or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Saham vs Al Musannah?
On our numbers Saham have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Musannah 15%.
How many goals will there be in Saham vs Al Musannah?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saham vs Al Musannah?
Our predicted score is Saham 1–0 Al Musannah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Saham vs Al Musannah?
Saham vs Al Musannah (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 15:35 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fanja3
Al Nasr1
Ibri0
Al-Nahda0