Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelaya to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceCelaya or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Celaya vs Cordobés preview and prediction
The match
Cordobés travel to face Celaya in the on Sunday 25 October (01:00 WAT).
Form guide
Celaya's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Racing de Veracruz 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Cordobés's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Lobos ULMX 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Celaya and 0.6 for Cordobés. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celaya 66%, draw 21%, Cordobés 13%.
Safer route: Celaya or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celaya to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celaya 1–0 Cordobés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celaya66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Cordobés13%fair 7.94 · @4.50
2.36Expected goals
1.77Celaya xG
0.59Cordobés xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Celaya 1.8 – 0.6 Cordobés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✓
66%
1.51
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Celaya or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Celaya ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Celaya – last 6
LLDWDW
10 Oct
@ Racing de Veracruz
1–2
L
6 Oct
vs Jaguares de Chiapas
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Deportiva Venados
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Montañeses
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Chapulineros
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Tapachula
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cordobés – last 6
LWLLLW
18 Oct
@ Lobos ULMX
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Tigres de Alica
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Zacatepec 1948
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Reboceros La Piedad
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Irapuato
0–3
L
10 Apr
@ Atletico Hidalgo
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Cordobés.
Our pick is Celaya to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Celaya vs Cordobés?
On our numbers Celaya have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cordobés 13%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Cordobés?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Cordobés?
Our predicted score is Celaya 1–0 Cordobés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Cordobés?
Celaya vs Cordobés () kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
