Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Tapachula vs Chapulineros preview and prediction
The match
The sees Tapachula take on Chapulineros on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Tapachula's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Pioneros de Cancún 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chapulineros's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Pioneros de Cancún 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tapachula arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.7 for Tapachula and 1.3 for Chapulineros. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Tapachula 2–1 Chapulineros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tapachula49%fair 2.06 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Chapulineros31%fair 3.21 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.67Tapachula xG
1.28Chapulineros xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.7 – 1.3 Chapulineros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapachula to win✗
49%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapachula / FT Tapachula✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Form
Tapachula – last 6
LWLLLW
19 Sep
@ Pioneros de Cancún
1–5
L
13 Sep
vs Inter Playa del Carmen
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Celaya
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
15 Apr
@ Tritons Vallarta
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Mexicali FC
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chapulineros – last 6
LDDLLD
26 Sep
vs Pioneros de Cancún
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Inter Playa del Carmen
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Celaya
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Racing de Veracruz
1–5
L
29 Aug
vs Jaguares de Chiapas
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Jaguares de Chiapas
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Chapulineros.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chapulineros 31%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 2–1 Chapulineros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
Tapachula vs Chapulineros () kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Playa del Carmen3
Deportiva Venados1
Lobos ULMX2
Tritons Vallarta1
Los Cabos United
Cordobés