Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Tigres de Alica to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres de Alica to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX preview and prediction
The match
Tigres de Alica host Lobos ULMX in the on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nicolas Alvarez Ortega.
Form guide
Tigres de Alica's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Irapuato 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lobos ULMX's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Los Cabos United 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tigres de Alica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Tigres de Alica and 1.1 for Lobos ULMX. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tigres de Alica to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tigres de Alica 2–1 Lobos ULMX. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres de Alica63%fair 1.60 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
Lobos ULMX18%fair 5.48 · @6.50
3.20Expected goals
2.14Tigres de Alica xG
1.06Lobos ULMX xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tigres de Alica 2.1 – 1.1 Lobos ULMX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres de Alica to win✗
63%
1.60
1.44
Double chance
Tigres de Alica or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Tigres de Alica ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres de Alica / FT Tigres de Alica✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Tigres de Alica – last 6
LWWWLW
13 Sep
@ Irapuato
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Los Cabos United
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Zacatepec 1948
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Zap
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Deportivo Zap
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Los Cabos United
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lobos ULMX – last 6
LLWWWL
13 Sep
vs Los Cabos United
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Zacatepec 1948
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Zitacuaro
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Atletico Hidalgo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Cordobés
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres de Alica and Lobos ULMX.
What is the prediction for Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?
Our pick is Tigres de Alica to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?
On our numbers Tigres de Alica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lobos ULMX 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?
Our predicted score is Tigres de Alica 2–1 Lobos ULMX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX?
Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX () kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nicolas Alvarez Ortega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
