Value bet: Inter Playa del Carmen to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter Playa del Carmen to win ✗42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen preview and prediction
The match
Inter Playa del Carmen travel to Tapachula Olympic Stadium in the on Sunday 13 September (00:00 WAT) to face Tapachula.
Form guide
Tapachula's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Celaya 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Inter Playa del Carmen's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Pioneros de Cancún 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Tapachula and 1.6 for Inter Playa del Carmen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tapachula 36%, draw 23%, Inter Playa del Carmen 42%.
Value angle: Inter Playa del Carmen to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Tapachula 1–2 Inter Playa del Carmen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tapachula36%fair 2.81 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Inter Playa del Carmen42%fair 2.39 · @2.75
3.03Expected goals
1.44Tapachula xG
1.59Inter Playa del Carmen xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.4 – 1.6 Inter Playa del Carmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Playa del Carmen to win✗
42%
2.39
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Playa del Carmen / FT Inter Playa del Carmen✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Form
Tapachula – last 6
LLLWWW
6 Sep
@ Celaya
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
15 Apr
@ Tritons Vallarta
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Mexicali FC
4–0
W
28 Mar
@ Cañoneros Marina
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Pioneros de Cancún
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 6
LDDWDW
8 Sep
vs Pioneros de Cancún
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ Tecos
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Tecos
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Celaya
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Chapulineros
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Inter Playa del Carmen.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Inter Playa del Carmen 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 1–2 Inter Playa del Carmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen () kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Tapachula Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lobos ULMX1
Los Cabos United2