Thursday, 12 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
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1–1
FT

Celaya

WLWDL

Chapulineros vs Celaya prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Celaya to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCelaya to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceCelaya or draw ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.56

Chapulineros vs Celaya preview and prediction

The match

Celaya travel to face Chapulineros in the on Saturday 12 September (01:00 WAT).

Form guide

Chapulineros's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Racing de Veracruz 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.

Celaya's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Tapachula 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Celaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Celaya 1–0 Chapulineros.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Chapulineros and 1.9 for Celaya. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Celaya to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chapulineros 0–1 Celaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Chapulineros19%fair 5.34 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Celaya60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
2.92Expected goals
0.98Chapulineros xG
1.94Celaya xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Chapulineros 1.0 – 1.9 Celaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelaya to win ✗60%1.671.80 ▲
Double chanceCelaya or draw ✓81%1.23–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultCelaya ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celaya / FT Celaya ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.56–

Form

Chapulineros – last 5

LLDLL
5 Sep@ Racing de Veracruz1–5L
29 Augvs Jaguares de Chiapas0–1L
29 Mar@ Jaguares de Chiapas0–0D
14 Mar@ Inter Playa del Carmen1–2L
3 Mar@ Celaya0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Celaya – last 6

WLWDLD
6 Sepvs Tapachula2–0W
26 Apr@ Cimarrones1–2L
23 Aprvs Cimarrones2–1W
12 Aprvs Jaguares de Chiapas1–1D
29 Mar@ Montañeses1–5L
22 Marvs Inter Playa del Carmen0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Celaya v Chapulineros1–0
Chapulineros vs Celaya head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chapulineros vs Celaya?

Our pick is Celaya to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Chapulineros vs Celaya?

On our numbers Chapulineros have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Celaya 60%.

How many goals will there be in Chapulineros vs Celaya?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chapulineros vs Celaya?

Our predicted score is Chapulineros 0–1 Celaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Chapulineros vs Celaya?

Chapulineros vs Celaya () kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.