Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelaya to win ✓58% · @1.77
Double chanceCelaya or draw ✓82% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Celaya vs Tapachula preview and prediction
The match
Tapachula travel to face Celaya in the on Sunday 6 September (02:00 WAT).
Form guide
Celaya's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Cimarrones 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tapachula's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Racing de Veracruz 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tapachula arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Celaya and 1.1 for Tapachula. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celaya 58%, draw 24%, Tapachula 18%.
Safer route: Celaya or draw (82%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Celaya 2–1 Tapachula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celaya58%fair 1.72 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Tapachula18%fair 5.65 · @4.14
3.24Expected goals
2.11Celaya xG
1.13Tapachula xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Celaya 2.1 – 1.1 Tapachula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Double chance
Celaya or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.47
Half-time result
Celaya ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Celaya – last 6
LWDLDW
26 Apr
@ Cimarrones
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Cimarrones
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Jaguares de Chiapas
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Montañeses
1–5
L
22 Mar
vs Inter Playa del Carmen
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Chapulineros
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tapachula – last 6
LLWWWW
30 Aug
vs Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
15 Apr
@ Tritons Vallarta
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Mexicali FC
4–0
W
28 Mar
@ Cañoneros Marina
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Pioneros de Cancún
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Jaguares de Chiapas
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Tapachula.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Celaya vs Tapachula?
On our numbers Celaya have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tapachula 18%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Tapachula?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Tapachula?
Our predicted score is Celaya 2–1 Tapachula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Tapachula?
Celaya vs Tapachula () kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
